XRP Eyes $27 on Cup-and-Handle Pattern Amid ETF Inflows

Key Insights:

  • XRP price long-term cup-and-handle chart places Fibonacci extension targets near $8.47, $13.70, and $27.31.
  • XRP ETFs recorded $22.65 million in net inflows on September 25, led by Bitwise with $18.39 million.
  • XRP price held near the $1.50 support after testing $1.60, while $1.65 and $1.70 remain the next resistance levels.

XRP hovered around $1.52 following a retreat from an earlier push past $1.60. This downward movement coincided with U.S. spot XRP ETFs pulling in an additional $22.65 million in net inflows on Sept. 25.

Furthermore, an extended chart analysis from market observer ChartNerd drew renewed focus to an 8.5-year cup-and-handle formation. His outlook projects Fibonacci extension markers at $8.47, $13.70, and $27.31 should the broader technical pattern ultimately confirm.

XRP Price Prediction Maps $8.47 to $27.31 Targets

Analyst ChartNerd is following an 8.5-year cup-and-handle setup that originates around the cycle peak in 2018. The multi-year rounded recovery forms the cup, whereas the subsequent retracement following the 2025 high serves as the forming handle. This layout centers attention on whether the digital asset can finalize the handle formation ahead of a potential larger upward breakout.

Within this projection, the 1.272 Fibonacci extension sits near $8.47, the 1.414 extension lands near $13.70, and the 1.618 extension rests near $27.31. Lower down, the analysis highlights Fibonacci retracement zones at $0.894 and $0.642 as prospective support levels while the handle develops.

Additionally, the same multi-year chart reviews how XRP interacted with a Gaussian Channel throughout previous market cycles. ChartNerd utilizes these historical price retests to contextualize the current handle structure along with the possibility of another support test prior to any breakout.

The analyst also dismisses $750 to $1,000 price projections linked to the identical cup-and-handle evaluation, pointing out that such figures disagree with the Fibonacci metrics visible on his chart. Instead, his forecast keeps the calculated extensions strictly tethered to those displayed Fibonacci levels.

XRP ETF Inflows Add Fresh Market Demand

Based on SoSoValue metrics cited in the market overview, U.S. spot XRP exchange-traded funds pulled in $22.65 million in net inflows on September 25. Bitwise captured the lion’s share of the daily volume with $18.39 million, accompanied by Franklin Templeton’s XRPZ which brought in $4.26 million. The remaining three funds on the market reported zero net flows for the trading day.

These recent additions bumped total cumulative net inflows across all five products to $1.79 billion. Combined net assets settled at $1.77 billion, while daily trading volume hit $57.75 million, with Bitwise contributing $37.07 million to that activity.

These figures highlight ongoing capital inflows into regulated XRP investment vehicles just as the cryptocurrency tests a crucial technical zone.

SEC Guidance Follows CLARITY Act Vote

In regulatory developments, the U.S. Senate failed to pass the CLARITY Act on September 15 after a cloture vote missed the required 60-vote threshold. The procedural vote saw 49 senators favor moving forward and 50 vote against it. The legislation aimed to set up a comprehensive federal structure for digital commodity markets, splitting oversight duties between the SEC and the CFTC.

Shortly after, on September 25, the staff of the SEC Division of Corporation Finance published a fresh set of frequently asked questions regarding crypto assets. The released guidance addresses functional networks, staking receipt tokens, buyback mechanisms, network maintenance activities, and associated promotional messaging.

SEC personnel emphasized that these responses do not institute new legal mandates nor do they carry the binding authority of official Commission rules. Furthermore, the document refrains from explicitly classifying XRP.

On Saturday, the digital currency changed hands close to $1.55 following an earlier weekly high of $1.60. On the four-hour chart, immediate overhead resistance is positioned at $1.60, whereas the $1.50 zone has functioned as the primary support floor during the latest correction.

A decisive move above resistance would open the path toward $1.65 and $1.70, whereas a daily close beneath support could shift focus down to $1.45.

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